Population / mass screening = systematic examination of asymptomatic individuals to identify those at risk of a disease who may benefit from further investigation (not diagnostic).
Aims of screening programs:
- Reduce mortality by early diagnosis and treatment of a condition
- Reduce incidence of a condition by identifying and treating pre-cursors
- Reduce severity of a condition by identifying people with condition and offering elective treatment
- Increase choice by identifying conditions or risk factors early when more options are available
Principles of screening:
- Should be an important health problem
- Accepted treatment for the disease
- Facilities for diagnosis and treatment available
- Recognisable early or latent phase
- Suitable test or exanimation
- The test should be acceptable to the population
- Natural history of condition understood
- Agreed policy on whom to treat
- Economically balanced
- Continuous process
What are the proposed benefits and potential harms of prostate cancer screening?
PSA Screening Trials
PLCO
76 000 men aged 55 – 74 in America.
Routine screening – annual PSA + DRE vs “usual care” control group (patients could elect screening).
Findings:
- Statistically non-significant 13 % increase in prostate cancer specific mortality after 13 years
Issues:
- 45 % of all included men had had a PSA test in 3 years prior to commencement of study
- PSA testing was very common in the control group – est. 52 % had PSA checked during the study period (and likely more during follow up period)
- Only 64 % of men in the screened group with a positive PSA had a biopsy
Essentially, this trial compared organised screening to opportunistic screening
ERSPC
180 000 men aged 50 – 74 in 7 European countries.
Screening interval varied between 2 – 4 years vs control group
Findings (after 16 years):
- Reduction in prostate cancer specific mortality by 20 % (only in men under 70)
- No reduction in all-cause mortality
- Number needed to screen 570; number needed to diagnose 18; to prevent one prostate cancer death (trending down with each follow up)
Issues:
- 20 – 30 % contamination of screening arm (lower than PLCO) and better biopsy compliance (86 %)
- Quite heterogenous protocols between different centres (different screening times, biopsy triggers)
Goteborg
20 000 men between 50 – 64 in Sweden – part of the ERSPC trial
Routine PSA screening every 2 years vs control.
Findings (after 18 years):
- 35 % reduction in prostate cancer mortality (more pronounced for those who start screening < 60)
- Number needed to screen 231; number needed to diagnose 10; to prevent one prostate cancer death
- **Updated after 22 years – Number needed to screen 221, number needed to diagnose 9
Issues:
- Little contamination and good biopsy compliance
CAP
408 000 men in the UK between 50 – 69 randomised to single PSA test or control (PSA test if patient asked) – 10 year follow up
Findings:
- Similar risk of prostate cancer death between groups
- No difference in all-cause mortality
Issues:
- About 15 % screening in control group; ? not all men in intervention group had proper PSA test
- Only single PSA not representative of screening. Not a true control group.
General limitations cf. contemporary practice
Current PSA testing incorporates adjuncts to risk stratify biopsy
MRI and biopsy methods changed – likely more clinically significant prostate found, and less insignificant disease missed
Data is only now maturing to capture mortality from prostate cancer
?Applicability to Australian men and other at-risk groups such as African-Americans
PCFA Guidelines on PSA Testing (2015)
Avoids the term ‘screening’ which refers to structured programs – guidelines refer to ‘testing’ as a tool for early diagnosis in primary care.
Mainly uses data from ESRPC and modelling related – due to issues with PLCO and other studies.
- Offer evidence based decisional support to men considering whether to have a PSA test, including the opportunity to discuss benefits and harms
- Testing can only be expected to prevent prostate cancer death at least 7 years in the future
- Quality of life might be worse in the short term with prostate cancer treatment, but medium to long term quality of life likely to be better
- For men at average risk who have been informed of risks and benefits and wish to undergo screening, offer PSA testing every 2 years from 50 – 69 years, and further investigation if PSA is > 3.0 ng / mL
- Do not offer PSA testing at age 40 to predict future risk
- For men younger than 50 who want to be tested, offer testing every 2 years from 45, and if < 75th centile at 45, do not test again until 50
- Advise men older than 70 that harms may outweigh benefits
- For men at higher risk due to family history, offer testing every 2 years from 45 – 69
- For men at very high risk (i.e. 3 first degree relatives), offer testing from 40
- If < 75th centile at 40 or 45, can defer to 50
- If between 75th and 95th centile, continue second yearly testing
- If > 95th centile, investigate further
- DRE is not recommended as a routine addition to testing in primary care, but remains important part of specialist assessment
- PSA testing is not recommended for men who are unlikely to live another 7 years
September 2022 USANZ updated statement
- Offer individualised risk-adapted strategy for early detection to a well-informed man 50 years and older, with minimum 10 year life expectancy
- Offer early PSA testing to well-informed men at an elevated risk of prostate cancer
- 45 years and family history
- 45 years and high risk ethnicity (including ATSI)
- 40 and BRCA2 mutations
- Stop early diagnosis of prostate cancer based on limited life expectancy and poor performance status (e.g. men with life expectancy < 10 years unlikely to benefit)
- Initial PSA > 3 ng/mL – risk stratification (age, family history, PSA density, DRE) guides further testing (MRI, biopsy).